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Hello Everyone,
According to the July 18 Wall Street Journal "The Dow ended the week up 7.3% at 8743.94, taking just five days to recover almost all the 7.4% decline of the previous four weeks-----." The article went on to say this was the strongest weekly gain for the Dow since March. Look for more volatility in stocks in the coming weeks and months, but outlook overall appears hopeful.
Here in Marin County, single family residences (SFR) gained back a bit of ground compared to 2008, with 89 homes sold between June 30 and July 14 vs. only 74 in the same period a year ago. This brought YTD unit sales up to 724 compared to 849 last year at this time or -14.7%. In our report two weeks ago the figure was -18.06% so almost a 20% improvement over the two week period. In spite of this, percentage in contract figures for SFR's slipped slightly in all except the over $3million price range with that increase due to changes in only 3 units so probably not significant. Overall SFR percentage in contract slipped from 26.7% to 25.12%, losing its toehold on "sellers' market" status and drifting back into "balanced" territory. The hot under-$1million segment also cooled just a bit from 39.06% in contract to 37.26%, still technically a strong sellers' market but with not much power behind pricing, sellers still advised to pay careful attention to recent comparable sales, stage well, and go with the flow. Inventory overall down slightly to 1210 units from 1236 at last report.
Condo inventory in the County up 5 units from 321 to 326 since the June 30 report. Condo market still red hot with 38.03% of MLS-listed units in contract as of July 14. In the under-$1million segment, a scorching 40% in contract on that date. YTD units sold slipped again for the second reporting period, but still 11.9% ahead of this time last year with 234 YTD units sold vs. '08's 206 Average price of YTD sold units at $369,173 vs. $538,912 last year at this time. Part of this of course due to price deterioration, but quite a bit of it the result of "market mix", meaning a large percentage of the units on the market are lower-end properties, many of them bank-owned foreclosures. Multiple offers not uncommon in this segment. With more foreclosure activity still to come, opportunity for interested buyers should continue for a while but won't last forever!
More next time.
Until then, best wishes to all,
Fred
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