Hello Everyone,
Front page article in the 1.22.10 Marin IJ exclaims "Home sales, median price up". At the same time stocks in the Dow take a 200 point one-day dive on fears about proposed new bank regulations as well as concern about Fed Chairman Bernanke's re-appointment problems. Investors want to be optimistic but still cautious, skittish, reacting to news and rumors by selling stocks. Mortgage rates improved slightly on the poor financial news.
A January 21 article by San Diego-based MDA DataQuick titled "Bay Area home sales strongest in three years" noted that December's Bay Area sales of 7,828 units were the month's highest since 8,372 were sold in December of '06. Article goes on to say that home sales are still skewed towards the low end of the market, a fact the writers attribute to tax incentives and sales of distressed properties. Also notes that lender reluctance currently the most significant obstacle to further improvement in the Bay Area housing market. States that December Bay Area foreclosure re-sales made up about 32% of re-sale activity compared to 48% in Dec of '08 and the high of 52% in Feb, '09. Full text of article available at http://www.dqnews.com/Articles/2010/News/California/Bay-Area/RRBay100121.aspx
Here in Marin County, YTD unit sales of single family residences (SFR) were 48 as of January 19, up 17% over the 41 units sold in the same period last year, while condo's unit sales were down 5.5% at 17 vs. 09's 18 during the same period. Average list and sold prices up for both categories of housing showing significant increases but this may be due to the as yet small number of sales, and therefore subject to change as the year continues.
Inventory for both condo's and SFR's beginning to increase slightly, a normal trend for this time of year as sellers who waited out the Holidays bring their properties to market or place them back on the market after temporarily withdrawing them. County-wide, the under-$1million market continues to be most active by far, with 45.75% of SFR's and 44.5% of condo's in the price range in contract. Upper end of the market still sluggish, largely due to difficulty in obtaining "jumbo" loans. Buyers with cash continuing to pick up great deals. Varies by city/town, neighborhood, etc. See last City-by-City report for details (attached again for convenience).
Many feel the local market has bottomed out and is on the upswing. Many buyers shopping for property before rates and prices go up. Experienced local REALTORS still the best source of information and assistance.
More next time.
Until then, best wishes to all,
Fred
p.s. for access to spreadsheets please see
http://www.fredanlyan.com
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
The Anlyan Report. Marin County Real Estate Statistics 1.10.2010
Hello Everyone,
Happy New Year, and welcome to 2010!
Emerging from the traditionally quiet period of the year (regarding real estate, that is), we see that is has not been all that quiet. Numbers of accepted offers for both Single Family Residences (SFR) and Condominiums were double or more than in the same period in the last two years. Months Supply of Inventory at the end of December was 3.5 for SFR's and 4.1 for Condo's, lowest in over two years. Total SFR units sold finished 2009 at 1656, 5.5% more than 2008. Condo's at 497 sold for the year down just 2% from the year-ago figure. Some of this activity, no doubt, due to buyers desire to get taxpayer credits while they last and to take advantage of historically low interest rates which are bound to go up sooner or later. The question is when. Will the Fed start to raise interest rates while employment is still at 10% +? Is there another round of foreclosures coming that will depress housing prices further. As the toy crystal ball I had as a child was fond of saying: "answer hazy, ask again later". One thing is for sure. Buyer taxpayer credits will end, and interest rates will eventually rise. Prices and interest rates are excellent now. Many think this is a great time to buy. Time will tell.
City-by-City report out this week shows percentage in contract down in 5 Marin cities and towns, up in 7, and essentially unchanged in one (San Rafael, 37%). Belvedere lowest at 14.29% in contract, even after a 2 point rise, while Fairfax has the top spot at 59%, and still-hot Novato comes in a close 2nd at 53.6%. Pricing still critical in all Marin County markets, with overpriced listings sitting on the market and eventually withdrawn, cancelled, or selling for significantly less than properties "priced right" from the beginning. No time to push the envelope or test the market. Pricing, preparation, and presentation still critical factors in listing and selling a home. Sellers advised to seek the advice of experienced local REALTORS who know the market.
Market Action Report for both SFR's and Condo's attached again this month. Please take a look and let me know if you like these reports and find them useful.
2010 promises to be an interesting, and perhaps a pivotal year for real estate. It will be interesting to see what happens.
More later---
Until then, best wishes to all,
Fred
p.s. for access to spreadsheets please see http://www.fredanlyan.com
Happy New Year, and welcome to 2010!
Emerging from the traditionally quiet period of the year (regarding real estate, that is), we see that is has not been all that quiet. Numbers of accepted offers for both Single Family Residences (SFR) and Condominiums were double or more than in the same period in the last two years. Months Supply of Inventory at the end of December was 3.5 for SFR's and 4.1 for Condo's, lowest in over two years. Total SFR units sold finished 2009 at 1656, 5.5% more than 2008. Condo's at 497 sold for the year down just 2% from the year-ago figure. Some of this activity, no doubt, due to buyers desire to get taxpayer credits while they last and to take advantage of historically low interest rates which are bound to go up sooner or later. The question is when. Will the Fed start to raise interest rates while employment is still at 10% +? Is there another round of foreclosures coming that will depress housing prices further. As the toy crystal ball I had as a child was fond of saying: "answer hazy, ask again later". One thing is for sure. Buyer taxpayer credits will end, and interest rates will eventually rise. Prices and interest rates are excellent now. Many think this is a great time to buy. Time will tell.
City-by-City report out this week shows percentage in contract down in 5 Marin cities and towns, up in 7, and essentially unchanged in one (San Rafael, 37%). Belvedere lowest at 14.29% in contract, even after a 2 point rise, while Fairfax has the top spot at 59%, and still-hot Novato comes in a close 2nd at 53.6%. Pricing still critical in all Marin County markets, with overpriced listings sitting on the market and eventually withdrawn, cancelled, or selling for significantly less than properties "priced right" from the beginning. No time to push the envelope or test the market. Pricing, preparation, and presentation still critical factors in listing and selling a home. Sellers advised to seek the advice of experienced local REALTORS who know the market.
Market Action Report for both SFR's and Condo's attached again this month. Please take a look and let me know if you like these reports and find them useful.
2010 promises to be an interesting, and perhaps a pivotal year for real estate. It will be interesting to see what happens.
More later---
Until then, best wishes to all,
Fred
p.s. for access to spreadsheets please see http://www.fredanlyan.com
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